(2006) Synthese 152 (1).
Philosophers have often attempted to use counterfactual conditionals to analyze probability. This article focuses on counterfactual analyzes of epistemic probability by Alvin Plantinga and Peter van Inwagen. I argue that a certain type of counterfactual situation creates problems for these analyses. I then argue that Plantinga’s intuition about the role of warrant in epistemic probability is mistaken. Both van Inwagen’s and Plantinga’s intuitions about epistemic probability are flawed.
Publication details
DOI: 10.1007/s11229-005-1332-3
Full citation:
Otte, R. (2006). Counterfactuals and epistemic probability. Synthese 152 (1), pp. 81-93.
This document is unfortunately not available for download at the moment.